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Why these three states are the most consistent tipping point in American politics

AI Analysis:
The article discusses the importance of the states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in determining the outcome of the US presidential election. These three states are known as the "Blue Wall" states because they have consistently voted Democratic in recent elections. However, in 2016, all three states went to Trump, causing some analysts to question whether they would remain reliably Democratic.

The article highlights that despite their shared history of voting for the same candidate, these three states can still diverge in their preference. For example, in 2000 and 2004, Democrats Al Gore and John Kerry lost because they didn't perform well in two of the three states.

Currently, Joe Biden is projected to win Michigan and Wisconsin, but Pennsylvania remains a battleground state where Trump could potentially pull ahead. The article suggests that the history of convergence between these three states does not guarantee that they will vote the same way this year.

The author notes that the one thing certain is that whoever wins two or more of these three states is likely to win the presidency. However, there is also a risk that a candidate could win two states and still lose the election if they don't perform well in Pennsylvania.

Overall, the article emphasizes the significance of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in determining the outcome of the presidential election and highlights the potential for these states to diverge in their preference despite their shared history of voting for the same candidate.

AI analysis made using llama3.2:latest running locally.

Original Article:
Whether measured by campaign advertising, candidate visits, organizational effort or nervous obsessing over poll results, Michigan, Wisconsin and above all Pennsylvania have moved to the top of the priority list for both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump just as they have in seemingly every recent presidential election.... [Read More]

Published: 2024-09-17T04:00:21